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Poll: Obama by a nose
 
Published Friday, August 15, 2008
by Herbert L. White

Barack Obama has pulled ahead of John McCain in the latest Zogby Interactive poll of likely U.S. presidential voters.


Obama (D-Ill.) leads McCain (R-Ariz.) 43 percent to 40 percent in the Aug. 12-14 Zogby Interactive survey, with Libertarian Bob Barr earning 6 percent and liberal candidate Ralph Nader with 2. Nine percent of voters are undecided or favoring someone else.


The interactive survey was conducting using an online polling panel, and 3,339 likely voters. The poll’s margin of error is 1.7 percentage points.


In a two-way race between McCain and Obama, Obama leads by a 44 percent to 42, with 14 percent of voters undecided or backing someone else.


Obama and McCain are strongest among demographic groups that traditionally back each candidate. Obama leads 49 percent to 25 among likely voters under age 30, and is ahead 51-35 among women in the four-way race. McCain tops Obama 50 percent to 37 among voters age 65 and older, and among men at 45 percent to 35.


Democrats are solidly in Obama’s corner, giving him 83 percent of the party vote in a four-candidate race, compared to 79 percent of Republicans who support McCain. In a head-to-head campaign, Obama has 85 percent support from Democrats, while McCain has 83 percent support from Republicans.


Independent voters are split on the candidates, with Obama ahead with 37 percent compared to 32 percent for McCain. Barr, a former Republican congressman now on the Libertarian ticket, has 14 percent of the independent vote, while Nader has 4 percent.
According to the Zogby poll, voters favor McCain in foreign policy and the war on terrorism. Obama is seen as better suited to manage domestic issues.


Asked which candidate would be a better overall leader for America, respondents sided with Obama with 44 percent compared to 39 for McCain.

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